Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico
Mountain West
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.8#16
Expected Predictive Rating+17.6#6
Pace65.8#210
Improvement+2.9#62

Offense
Total Offense+5.6#50
Improvement+1.4#100

Defense
Total Defense+8.2#12
Improvement+1.5#90
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 4.6% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 29.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 82.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round88.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen50.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight24.7% n/a n/a
Final Four10.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game3.9% n/a n/a
National Champion1.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2012 70   Davidson W 86-81 82%     1 - 0 +9.0 +7.1 +1.6
  Nov 16, 2012 193   Illinois-Chicago W 66-59 91%     2 - 0 +5.7 -4.4 +10.1
  Nov 18, 2012 145   George Mason W 70-69 87%     3 - 0 +2.3 -0.1 +2.5
  Nov 19, 2012 51   Connecticut W 66-60 65%     4 - 0 +15.8 +7.0 +9.7
  Nov 23, 2012 200   Idaho W 73-58 95%     5 - 0 +10.1 -2.9 +14.1
  Nov 25, 2012 253   Portland W 69-54 97%     6 - 0 +6.4 -10.6 +16.0
  Nov 28, 2012 138   Mercer W 76-58 92%     7 - 0 +16.5 -2.8 +17.9
  Dec 01, 2012 96   @ Indiana St. W 77-68 OT 71%     8 - 0 +17.2 +3.8 +12.6
  Dec 05, 2012 100   USC W 75-67 87%     9 - 0 +9.4 +8.8 +1.1
  Dec 08, 2012 66   Valparaiso W 65-52 82%     10 - 0 +17.3 -3.0 +21.3
  Dec 15, 2012 87   New Mexico St. W 73-58 86%     11 - 0 +17.4 +8.8 +9.9
  Dec 19, 2012 87   @ New Mexico St. W 68-63 68%     12 - 0 +13.9 +8.2 +6.3
  Dec 22, 2012 107   South Dakota St. L 65-70 88%     12 - 1 -4.0 -9.7 +5.5
  Dec 27, 2012 38   @ Cincinnati W 55-54 47%     13 - 1 +15.5 -2.2 +17.8
  Dec 31, 2012 17   @ Saint Louis L 46-60 38%     13 - 2 +3.0 -13.6 +16.0
  Jan 09, 2013 31   UNLV W 65-60 69%     14 - 2 1 - 0 +13.7 -3.4 +16.9
  Jan 12, 2013 99   Fresno St. W 72-45 87%     15 - 2 2 - 0 +28.5 +7.2 +22.5
  Jan 16, 2013 47   @ Boise St. W 79-74 OT 52%     16 - 2 3 - 0 +18.3 +2.3 +15.6
  Jan 23, 2013 24   Colorado St. W 66-61 66%     17 - 2 4 - 0 +14.4 -5.8 +20.3
  Jan 26, 2013 28   @ San Diego St. L 34-55 43%     17 - 3 4 - 1 -5.4 -23.4 +14.9
  Jan 30, 2013 89   @ Wyoming W 63-59 69%     18 - 3 5 - 1 +12.6 +5.5 +7.8
  Feb 02, 2013 149   Nevada W 75-62 93%     19 - 3 6 - 1 +10.6 +8.0 +4.1
  Feb 06, 2013 85   Air Force W 81-58 86%     20 - 3 7 - 1 +25.4 +7.0 +19.1
  Feb 09, 2013 31   @ UNLV L 55-64 45%     20 - 4 7 - 2 +6.2 -8.8 +15.3
  Feb 13, 2013 99   @ Fresno St. W 54-48 71%     21 - 4 8 - 2 +14.0 -0.2 +15.4
  Feb 16, 2013 47   Boise St. W 60-50 75%     22 - 4 9 - 2 +16.8 -11.0 +28.0
  Feb 23, 2013 24   @ Colorado St. W 91-82 42%     23 - 4 10 - 2 +24.9 +22.3 +2.6
  Feb 27, 2013 28   San Diego St. W 70-60 68%     24 - 4 11 - 2 +19.1 +12.0 +8.2
  Mar 02, 2013 89   Wyoming W 53-42 86%     25 - 4 12 - 2 +13.2 -4.3 +20.1
  Mar 06, 2013 149   @ Nevada W 75-62 82%     26 - 4 13 - 2 +17.1 +12.6 +6.3
  Mar 09, 2013 85   @ Air Force L 88-89 68%     26 - 5 13 - 3 +7.9 +24.4 -16.6
  Mar 13, 2013 89   Wyoming W 59-46 79%     27 - 5 +18.4 +5.0 +16.7
  Mar 15, 2013 28   San Diego St. W 60-50 56%     28 - 5 +22.3 +5.7 +18.3
  Mar 16, 2013 31   UNLV W 63-56 57%     29 - 5 +19.0 +7.9 +12.0
Projected Record 29.0 - 5.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.9 29.0 53.5 17.2 0.3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.9 29.0 53.5 17.2 0.3